Tuesday, June 5, 2018

Cruz's ASTONISHINGLY Good Numbers with African Americans and Hispanics

"Now when He had said these things, He cried with a loud voice, “Lazarus, come forth!
John 11:43

Late last week, a poll came out in the U.S. Senate race that confirmed what everyone who isn't a national media reporter or a resident of East Austin already knows: Ted Cruz will beat Beto by a comfortable margin.

That's such an obvious conclusion that we didn't give the poll much thought until we belatedly saw this analysis from National Review:

Poll: Cruz Leads Beto O’Rourke among Hispanic Voters in Texas Senate Race

From the article:
The poll, which found that Cruz leads O’Rourke 46 to 44 percent among Hispanics, is a troubling sign for O’Rourke, who has tailored his campaign around his advocacy for racial minorities.
 That's pretty impressive, but what we saw next made our jaw drop:
O’Rourke, who currently represents El Paso as a member of the House, does however maintain a significant advantage among black voters, leading Cruz 70 percent to 15 percent.

[Note: Emphasis added.]
Keep in mind: Republicans typically get about 7% of the African-American vote; Cruz has doubled that here.

Obviously, all the usual caveats about "it's just one poll" apply, but it's nevertheless interesting.

If Republicans could get 20% of the African-American vote, it blows up the Democrat coalition in a way that makes it impossible for them to ever win again; this poll suggests Cruz might be getting close.

Bottom Line: It's too soon to draw conclusions, but if this trend continues it would be a monumental development....

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