Showing posts with label Border Security. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Border Security. Show all posts

Thursday, November 14, 2019

#TXLEGE: Adios Muchacho


"It is not good to show partiality to the wicked,
Or to overthrow the righteous in judgment."
Proverbs 18:5

Lolz, couldn't happen to a nicer guy....
On September 6 a pair of DPS employees at the TXDOT Flight Services location in Austin, Texas found a sealed white envelope on the ground outside of the terminal. Inside were four clear plastic baggies containing “white power.”

That powder was cocaine.

The envelope was white letterhead reading, “Office the State of Texas House of Representatives Member Poncho Nevarez.“ A review of video footage by DPS officers showed Poncho exiting the airport in burnt orange, dropping the sealed envelope and getting into an SUV driven by his chief of staff.

According to the affidavit, Poncho arrived in Austin that day flying a private Cessna T206 owned by the Nevarez Law Group. He was arriving from the Texas-Mexico border, where his legislative district is located.
In a CYA statement to the Trib, Nevarez belatedly claims:
Nevárez said "grief and addiction were consuming me" and noted that he plans to "seek treatment."
Blah, blah, blah.

[Note: Taxpayers gonna be on the hook for that so-called "treatment?!?"]

The only thing to which Poncho Nevarez was "addicted" was arrogance and entitlement.

This author doesn't care about Poncho Nevarez's recreational activities.  Glass houses, stones, the mid-2000's, and all that.  We do, however, care about arrogance and entitlement in the political arena.

It speaks volumes to the culture in the Texas house that the Chairman of the frickin' Homeland Security committee was caught trafficking cocaine.

Sure, it was a relatively small amount.  Sure, there was a big football game that weekend.  Sure, in isolation, this one specific action doesn't amount to much.

But he's the chairman of the Homeland Security committee.

Call us old-fashioned, but we don't think the chairman of the Homeland Security committee should fly cocaine from the Mexican border into the interior.

Just a thought.

Bottom Line: It's not the cocaine.  At least, not really.  It's the arrogance and the political entitlement.

Saturday, January 5, 2019

Attacking Hurd over meaningless vote is dumb


"Folly is joy to him who is destitute of discernment,
But a man of understanding walks uprightly."
Proverbs 15:21

This piece left us scratching our head:
A day into the new Nancy Pelosi-run U.S. House of Representatives, and Will Hurd has ditched the GOP.

The San Antonio congressman was one of seven Republicans on Friday to vote for the Democrats’ attempt to fund government without providing the border security money President Donald Trump has said is contingent on his signing the bill.

Asked about his vote, Hurd told Texas Public Radio he doesn’t want to be “playing politics with a shutdown.”

....

Indeed, his vote was the epitome of “playing politics”: by voting to advance legislation that Trump and other Republicans had already said they would not support, Hurd effectively chose to rebuke his own party on a bill doomed to die.

[Note: Emphasis added.]
 And?!?

As the last sentence notes, the bill was already "doomed to die."   It had zero-impact on public policy.  This is exactly when you want someone to take a vote 'against their party.'  If that's "playing politics," so be it.

It's not a secret that Will Hurd represents a swing district.  It's also not a secret that Will Hurd just got re-elected in an awful national environment.  While southwest Texas has trended Republican in recent cycles, it still requires finesse.  Elected officials in such areas ought to be allowed latitude for such finesse.

Especially when the vote in question has zero impact on public policy.

-------

Then there's the whole Pete Flores factor.

Like it or not, Pete Flores and Will Hurd sink or swim together.  You don't get one without the other.  If you want Pete Flores to have any chance at re-election, you have to cut Will Hurd some slack.

And we want to re-elect Pete Flores.

-------

Without belaboring it...folks might want to consider WHY an elected official who represents this geographic location might take this particular position on this particular issue.

-------

Bottom Line:  If an elected official has to take a certain number of votes for political positioning, you want them to do it at times when there's no impact on public policy.

Monday, December 31, 2018

O'Rourke belatedly makes not bad point about the border


"So then, my beloved brethren, let every man be swift to hear, slow to speak, slow to wrath"
James 1:19

(Soon-to-be-former) Congressman O'Rourke recently released a video about the border:



The video has received a fair amount of commentary, but there's one point on which we want to linger:


He's...not wrong.

Illegal border crossings have been declining for a decade.  More of today's illegal immigration comes from visa overstays.  If were serious about solving illegal immigration, it's a point we'd be wise to remember.

It's also, if you're looking for a credible alternative to the current narrative about border security, not a bad point to hammer.

Still, coming from O'Rourke this is...a missed opportunity...at best.

This is a guy who just subjected us to a year and a half long campaign.  During said campaign, he could have driven a more intelligent discussion of border security.  Instead, he gave us cliches and vague platitudes.  We might not have voted for him, but it would have made the U.S. Senate campaign less dumb.

Bottom Line: He's not wrong, but it sure would have been nice if he'd started making this point a year and a half ago....

Friday, October 19, 2018

Southwest Texas' ASTONISHING shift to the Right


"And let us not grow weary while doing good, for in due season we shall reap if we do not lose heart."
Galatians 6:9

One week ago:
History was made today in the Texas Senate chamber as Pete Flores, a retired game warden from South Texas, was sworn in as the state’s first Hispanic Republican State Senator.

Flores won the seat in a special election last month in a surprise victory that surprised political onlookers statewide. Many had written off Flores’ hopes of winning the seat. However, Flores ran an aggressive campaign matched by a surge of grassroots energy in the district. Add to that the support of Lt. Gov. Dan Patrick and Texans for Fiscal Responsibility and Flores ultimately carried the day.

Previously occupied by Democrat State Sen. Carlos Uresti—who was forced to resign from office after being convicted of several federal crimes and sentenced to prison—Senate District 19 had not been held by a Republican since Reconstruction.
Yesterday:

These are both astonishing.

The Texas Observer notices:
The 23rd Congressional District is Texas’ one true swing district. It forms a claw that holds on to the heart of San Antonio and then stretches west all along the border to El Paso County. It’s a gigantic district, encompassing two time zones as well as about two-thirds of the Texas-Mexico border, and it’s more than 70 percent Latino.

If a backlash to Trump — the president who demonizes Mexican Americans, separates children from their parents at the border and obsesses about building a border wall — were to materialize anywhere, you would think it would be here.

But in Texas, perennial concerns about low Latino turnout are again rearing their head. “If you were banking on the Bexar County Democratic Party to carry a heavy share of the load [in the 23rd], you probably want to rethink your plan,” Mark Jones, a Rice University political science professor, warned.
It's quite something.

A few observations:
  •  Strong Border Security positions help in November -- While Hurd is a sometimes squish, Flores isn't.  That this is happening at the same time as Trump is doing what he's doing (and the legislature is, however reluctantly, doing what they're doing) tells you everything you need to know.  If the GOP's immigration position were "toxic,' they wouldn't be winning in Southwest Texas.
  • The Failure to address Carlos Uresti has cost Democrats DEARLY -- Another observation we've made previously.  But all they had to do was do the right thing when either the financial or the sexual stuff came out.  But they didn't....
  • Southwest Texas REALLY isn't into Bobby Francis -- These are the same counties that he lost in his primary disaster.
Bottom Line: This is VERY bad news for the Democrats....

Friday, September 28, 2018

#TribFest18: "The Red Team" illustrates how Texas' Congressional Delegation is improving


"When the righteous are in authority, the people rejoice;
But when a wicked man rules, the people groan."
Proverbs 29:2

Open seat Congressional candidates Dan Crenshaw, Chip Roy, Van Taylor, and Ron Wright spoke on a panel this morning.  It was very encouraging.  We only hope they end up serving in the majority.  The candidates covered a wide range of topics, the most interesting were federal spending, border issues, and health care.

Chip Roy was the first to attack spending.  Roy pointed out that, while tax relief/simplification and the resulting economic growth were good things, federal spending remains out-of-control.  Out-of-control spending, naturally, leads to debt.  And debt remains the largest long-term threat to the U.S. economy.  Ron Wright added that "the way we've been funding the federal government is insane."

On border issues, Van Taylor made a very important point: Border security, legal immigration, and illegal immigration are separate issues.  They should all be treated as such.  Trying to solve all three in a "comprehensive" manner is a recipe for disaster.  We've also learned from experience that those sorts of bills are impossible to pass.

Taylor is correct.  The way you solve complex problems is by breaking them into their component parts.  Then you solve the component parts.  Eventually, you end up solving the big, complex, problem.

On health care, Chip Roy finally moved beyond just "repealing Obamacare" to discuss how to actually fix health care.  Obviously, this is a point we've been hammering for months.  While Roy's full remarks deserve a blog post of their own, the short version is that he spoke in favor of reducing costs and price transparency.  Wright added that "we need a system where doctors and patients call the shots."

That being said, the person who was really impressive was Dan Crenshaw.  This was the first we'd ever heard him speak.  He is seriously sharp!  We were impressed with his answers to every single question.  Especially impressive was his discussion of the defense budget.  Crenshaw explained that the military doesn't actually want a lot of that spending.  It's nothing but corporate welfare for defense contractors.  That's not something you often hear from candidates who are veterans.

Bottom Line: The Texas grassroots did a very good job in Congressional races this cycle; it shows....

Saturday, September 22, 2018

#TXSEN: Random Thoughts on Cruz and Bobby Francis' first "debate"


"Because of the transgression of a land, many are its princes;
But by a man of understanding and knowledge
Right will be prolonged."
Proverbs 28:2

We don't feel like organizing them into a long-form write up, but some thoughts:
  • This debate was very similar to the immigration debate between Dan Patrick and Julian Castro in 2014.  Like Castro, Bobby Francis came out strong.  He was high energy (more on that below).  Like Patrick, Cruz took some time to get going.  But, also like Patrick, by the fifteen minute mark, Cruz was firmly in control and he never relinquished it.
  • Also like Castro: By the end of the debate, Bobby Francis was reduced to spouting the same three talking points.
  • Speaking of Bobby Francis: Was he on amphetamines?!?  Whatever the reason, his initial burst of energy turned into a bizarre type of hyperactivity.  What was up with his hands?!?
  • Immigration: Cruz supports securing the border and coming up with a more rational system of legal.  Bobby Francis' for straight-up amnesty.  You do realize this is Texas...right?!?
  • The only thing stupider than discussing the NFL protests in the first place was Bobby Francis comparing them to Selma.
  • Health Care: It's not a secret that we wish Cruz would discuss this topic more.  Cruz listed good principles, though we still wish he would put together his own comprehensive plan.  Bobby Francis, by contrast, supports socialized medicine.  This isn't close.
  • Bobby Francis drinking game: Drink every time he says...
    • "I visited every county in Texas."
    • "I want to work with Trump when I can, and oppose him when I must."
    • "Republicans, Democrats, Independents coming together...."
  • #2A: Cruz badly exposed Bobby Francis ignorance about firearms.  Bobby Francis called AR-15's "weapons of war."  It only takes 10 seconds on Wikipedia.

    That being said, when Bobby Francis says "I support the second amendment," he's lying.  PERIOD.  END OF STORY.
  • Criminal Justice: This was the most interesting section of the debate.  It's not a secret that this author's views on criminal justice don't line up neatly with any faction.  That being said, Cruz was absolutely correct when he pointed out that hateful, over the top, anti-police rhetoric leads to things like the Dallas shooting.  Bobby Francis' obsession with turing everything into a racial issue was sad.
  •  That being said, there was one person who liked Bobby Francis' constant obsession with race:


  • Bobby Francis denigrates prayer.  Wow.  Just wow.
  • Economy: 'Bout dadgum time they got to this.  Cruz strong in discussing how we need to continue path of deregulation [Note: More of this please!!!] and tax relief/simplification.  Bobby Francis' overzealously delivers stale talking points about "tax cuts for the rich" even though...you know...the rich like high taxes.
  • An hour long debate on "domestic issues" and...NOT.  A.  SINGLE.  DAMN.  QUESTION...about Federal SPENDING!!!
Bottom Line:  What you'd expect.  Contrast speaks for itself.  This is Texas.

Tuesday, September 5, 2017

Following Maryland loss, McRaven Grandstands over Immigration....


"They utter speech, and speak insolent things;
All the workers of iniquity boast in themselves."
Psalm 94:4

The arrogance is palpable:
Statement from Chancellor William H. McRaven on DACA
TUESDAY, SEPTEMBER 5, 2017

With today’s announcement by the Administration regarding the Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals program, I want to take a moment to share some thoughts.

Our state and nation have benefited for decades by attracting and retaining great students, scholars, physicians, and researchers from around the world. As I have said before, the men and women who show up on our shores and at our doors – ready to study, work, and participate – make us stronger, smarter, more competitive, and more attuned to the rest of our ever-shrinking globe. Over time, we have seen that their contributions and discoveries help us secure our nation, care for our people, foster economic growth, and provide scientific expertise and innovation that improves the human condition.

For years, Texas has supported students who were born in foreign countries but were brought here as children and raised in the U.S. In fact, Texas was among the first states to grant these Texas high school graduates the opportunity to pay in-state tuition, a benefit The University of Texas System continues to support.

These students consider themselves to be Americans and Texans, proud of the state they see as their home. They, like others, have served our nation with distinction in their academic pursuits, in our nation’s military, and as productive members of society. This service should be applauded and honored. Our nation should recognize the potential in these students, granting them the opportunity to pursue their education and enter the workforce in this country.

The UT System will always follow the law. And while I understand the concern of the President and others about how DACA was implemented, the critical fact is that I and the UT System believe in our DACA students and that their opportunities to contribute to Texas and our nation should be upheld and continued by our leaders in Washington. Congress must now act quickly to provide a bridge for these students to remain in the U.S. and become citizens.

Let me also speak directly to you, our UT DACA students. You can be certain of our support as you continue to pursue your dreams – the American dream – to obtain an education and build a better future for you and your families. As UT adheres to federal and state laws regarding immigration, rest assured our campuses will remain places where you can safely study as Congress takes up this issue.

The international competition for the best students, scholars, physicians and researchers is fierce. We need loud and clear signals that the U.S. and Texas will continue to seek out the foremost talents in the world and welcome them to our institutions. For its part, the UT System will always pursue young men and women from around the world who wish to learn, and the scholars and researchers who will train and educate them.
 Thoughts:
  • Despite the attempt in the latter part to tie it back to the university, this is nothing more than an attempt to generate press coverage over an issue where the Chancellor's office and the University of Texas have virtually zero jurisdiction.
  • If this were really about offering guidance to current students, that could have been covered in a one paragraph statement.
  • Sure, historically they've defied Governors over issues related to university governance, but as far as we can tell this type of defiance over high profile national issues is a new development...and we suspect it's one that will make it politically difficult for the current friendly Governor to run interference for them indefinitely.
    • Note: We certainly don't remember them doing it at a time when the Football team is losing.
Bottom Line: If you can't beat Maryland, you shouldn't be sending out press releases over controversial national issues where you have virtually no jurisdiction.

Monday, June 19, 2017

#TXLEGE: Trib poll illustrates degree to which status quo crowd is playing with FIRE.....


"People shall be brought down,
Each man shall be humbled,
And the eyes of the lofty shall be humbled."

Isaiah 5:15

The Texas Tribune conducted a poll in early June, immediately after the regular session of the legislature ended.  Last week, they released unsurprising results related to national stories and elected officials.  But today's results related to issues should serve as a wake up call to anyone who wants to preserve the status quo:
  • EVERY ASPECT OF THE SANCTUARY CITIES BILL IS POLLING NORTH OF 50%.
    • Newsflash to Joe Straus, Mayor Adler, Rafael Anchia, the Democrats, and the Austin Lobby: THIS IS A POPULAR BILL.
    • Requiring local police to work with Immigration authorities is approved by 58% of voters and only disapproved by 33%...do you really want to take the 33% side in a statewide campaign?!?
    • Also, bear in mind that this poll was conducted at peak hysteria related to the Rinaldi/Poncho incident...which means that, even with full race card guns blazing, every aspect of this law polls at 53% or higher.
  • 77% of voters support statewide limits on property taxes.
  • 63% OF DEMOCRATS support statewide limits on property taxes.
    • NEWSFLASH MAYOR ADLER (you too Sylvester Turner).
  • While they didn't poll support/opposition to the bathroom bill (Note: That's revealing in and of itself), we find it notable that 35% OF DEMOCRATS list it as an important priority.
Furthermore, as it relates to the special session, allow us to one more observation that should be obvious: Because Greg Abbott is Greg Abbott, you know he polled every single issue on the call; that he's pushing forward with them should tell you everything you need to know about what his polling said.

Bottom Line: Woe unto politicians clinging to fantasies about where public opinion lies....

Monday, June 5, 2017

#TXLEGE: On the issues, grading the 85th (Regular Session Edition)....


"Therefore by their fruits you will know them."
Matthew 7:20

[Note: Our assessment of the 84th can be viewed here.]

It's that time of the political cycle!  The regular session of the 85th Texas Legislature is over.  How'd they do?!?

Border Security: B -- They passed the Sanctuary cities bill and maintained border security funding in the budget; if border security is one of your top issues, you can't deny that they made tangible progress on this issue this session.

But we've publicly stated doubts about whether the approach behind the sanctuary cities bill will ultimately accomplish it's stated objective, and we've found the discussion to be very theatrical.

In other words, they notched a couple of first downs but missed other opportunities to reach the end zone.

Pro-Life: B -- The top realistically achievable pro-life priority, the dismemberment abortion ban, was successful.  In addition, we had a couple of pro-life victories in the budget.  But we'll repeat what we said two years ago: "The only reason meaningful pro-Life legislation passed this session was the dogged and indefatigable work of Texas Right to Life."

Unfortunately, for no reason besides political spite, House leadership killed efforts to eliminate abortion subsidies in the health insurance market and to prohibit involuntary due not resuscitate orders in hospitals.

Finally, while it had no realistic path to 76 votes, for Byron Cook to kill the abolition bill without a hearing speaks for itself.

Austin Bashing: C -- The Uber bill crossed the finish line.  On housing issues, they lost linkage fees.   And it's not a secret that a number of local politicians have cynically grandstanded over sanctuary cities.

But the overwhelming majority of bills to reign in the City of Austin's abusive practices died in House committees chaired by Democrats.  Pro-property rights bills related to historical zoning and short term rentals died in Carol Alvarado's Urban Affairs committee, while bills to stop micromanaging hiring practices and pre-empt tree cutting ordinances were slow walked in Rene Olivera's Business and Industry committee.  Alvarado and Olivera killed several other bills without hearings.  It's worth noting that none of Paul Workman's Austin bashing bills were successful.

Finally, an attempt to prohibit other forms of housing price controls died late in the Senate.

Religious Liberty: C -- Conscience protections for adoption service providers successfully passed and that's a pretty big deal.  In addition, efforts to reign in some of the most abusive actions we saw in  the 2014/15 Houston saga were successful.  Both of those are fairly substantial victories.

But any number of other religious liberty bills died in the House.

It wasn't terrible, but it was underwhelming.

Higher Education: D [Note: Senate C, House F] -- The good news: The Senate passed strong bills on tuition and free speech.  Unfortunately, both predictably died in the House.  Nevertheless, those Senate bills are a solid foundation from which to build in future sessions.

The bad news: In the one place where the Senate had leverage and the House was irrelevant...the Senate rubber stamped the damn regent nominees.  Thus, we expect the higher ed. status quo to continue in the short term.  In addition, the Senate caved and increased higher ed. funding in the budget.

The only reason we're giving them a passing grade is because UT had to back down on the Houston land grab.

Ethics: D [Note: Senate A, House D] -- The first bill the Senate unanimously passed was an ethics bill that would have accomplished the following objectives: "barring politicians convicted of a felony from holding office or drawing a pension, requiring lawmakers to disclose government contracts, bond counsel, and legal referral fees, enacting more effective disclosure of lobbyist wining and dining of legislators, and banning elected officials from being employed as lobbyists while in office and eliminating the “revolving door” by adding a one session cooling-off period before former lawmakers can become lobbyists."  In addition, the Senate began the process of reigning in taxpayer funded lobbying.  Over the course of this session we have become convinced that eliminating taxpayer funded lobbying is, by far, the most important ethics reform the legislature could make.

Unfortunately, the only parts of that package that survived the House were the parts about barring pensions for convicted felons and a watered down form of contract disclosure.

Finally, it's worth noting the degree to which the House has treated Greg Abbott with contempt over this topic.  For the past two sessions, the Guvnah has made ethics reform an emergency item, to only receive the crumbs from House leadership we detailed in the preceding paragraph.  That Abbott won't even fight for his own stated priorities is quite revealing.

Two Year Budget: D -- We said our piece about the budget two weeks ago but the TL,DR version is that the this budget met the bare minimum standard (kept the top line number under inflation+population growth) but went no further and funded a lot of garbage.

Tax Relief: F [Note: Senate B, House F] In one of the highest profile discussions of the session, the Senate passed a bill that would have begun the process of structurally reforming the property tax system; the Senate bill didn't go far enough, but it was a fairly significant step in the right direction.

Unfortunately, due to a combination of incompetence and mendacity from Ways and Means chairman Dennis Bonnen, that effort collapsed in the House; we detailed Dennis Bonnen's debacle in real time.

They didn't even get margins tax elimination across the finish line.

Second Amendment: F -- Constitutional carry remains undone.  Mom's Demand Action bragged about having a successful session.  Case closed.

Education: F [Note: Senate A-, House F] -- While they had to modestly water it down to get to 19 votes, the Senate passed the strongest parental educational choice bill the legislature has ever considered.

In the House, Chairman Dan Huberty thumbed his nose at the Republican party platform and killed parental choice.  The House followed up with a budget vote that further illustrated their loyalty to government bureaucrats over parents and children.  Huberty also attempted to use a shady process to pass a "school finance" bill that would have accomplished little besides pouring additional money into the same failing system.

The only silver lining is that when the school finance bill made it to the Senate, they rewrote it in a way that might point the way towards a long term compromise.

"Fit hits the Shan" Preparation: F -- For as little as was getting done this session, we thought there was a decent chance grid security could pass, but it ultimately didn't; right to use cash legislation and the Texas Sovereignty act similarly died.

Structural Fiscal Reforms: F [Note: Senate A, House F] -- For future state budgets, the Senate passed a strong spending limit bill in late March.

In addition, the Senate took a hard look at various corporate welfare programs, 'economic development' shenanigans at the local level, and ballot integrity for local bond elections; these are a strong foundation on which to build future efforts.

None of these efforts went anywhere in the House.

Transportation: Incomplete -- As far as we can tell they didn't do anything terrible (though they tried), but neither did they do anything particularly good.

Overall, we would give the Senate a B and the House an F.

Bottom Line: The good news is that most of the bad stuff died; the bad news is that most of the good stuff also died.

Friday, June 2, 2017

#TXLEGE: Matt Rinaldi sets the record straight....


"No weapon formed against you shall prosper,
And every tongue which rises against you in judgment
You shall condemn.
This is the heritage of the servants of the Lord,
And their righteousness is from Me,”
Says the Lord."
Isaiah 54:17

Matt Rinaldi went on Fox Business yesterday to give the definitive account of Monday's craziness:



Highlights:

  • SB 4 has already been signed into law.
  • Protesters were holding signs that said: "Undocumented and here to stay."
  • Protest turned into a mob after they entered the House chamber.
  • Called ICE tip line.
  • Democrats were bragging about mob disrupting House proceedings.
  • After Rinaldi attempted to leave the situation, Poncho followed him and stated that he would "get" Rinaldi on the way to his car and that Rinaldi "had to leave eventually."
    • It was at this point when Rinaldi made his comment about self-defense.
  • Abbott hasn't called him.
    • Note: Isn't THAT revealing.

Tuesday, May 30, 2017

#TXLEGE: Fallon Video confirms Rinaldi's account of #SB4 protesters bragging about illegal status...


"And you shall know the truth, and the truth shall make you free."
John 8:32

UPDATE (6/3/2017): See here at the 4:30 mark....


Since yesterday's mayhem, Democrats have attempted to dispute Matt Rinaldi's assertion that the anti-rule of law protesters were openly bragging about their illegal status.  As we mentioned in our post about the incident yesterday, fellow state rep Pat Fallon had uploaded video of the events but there were formatting issues with this website.  We've resolved those and present Fallon's videos (the second one is the worst):

Video #1:



Video #2:



[Note: This is the one where they're openly chanting about being in the country illegally.]

Video #3:



Finally, allow us to add a few personal observations from yesterday.  We didn't take any pictures or video as we observed these events because we didn't think they'd later be in dispute.  But, from memory:
  • We were not on the Capitol grounds as most of the craziness occurred; we were at a separate event three blocks away and arrived about 45 minutes later.
  • As we were milling through the crowd at their rally (Confession: we wanted to see if there was food), we heard multiple speakers on the South steps of the Capitol bragging about how they were busing in people from "Florida," "New Mexico," and "New York" along with other locations we don't recall.
  • Looking North from the back of the Capitol parking garage, we saw buses lined up Trinity st as far as the eye could see.
  • It's also worth mentioning that a lot of them were wearing red "Fight for 15" (ie. $15 minimum wage) shirts.
That being said, it's worth pointing out that protests where people openly brag about illegal status happen all the time in Austin.  Here's an example from April 2014; here's an example from November 2016.  We've previously thought about doing the same thing as Rinaldi, but decided against kicking that particular hornet's nest; in the future, now that the nest's been kicked....

Bottom Line: The videos (especially the second) speak for themselves....

Monday, May 29, 2017

#TXLEGE: Democrats threaten Matt Rinaldi's life as regular session gavels out sine die....


"No weapon formed against you shall prosper,
And every tongue which rises against you in judgment
You shall condemn.
This is the heritage of the servants of the Lord,
And their righteousness is from Me,”
Says the Lord.
Isaiah 54:17

Soo...this happened:



Rindaldi explains further:



Pat Fallon adds context:



Note: Fallon also has a Facebook video of the protests that prompted Rinaldi to call ICE as they repeatedly bragged about being in the country illegally.  Unfortunately, due to formatting issues we can't embed that video on this website.  Fallon's original video can be viewed here.

To be fair, Romero disputes Rinaldi's account.  Readers can learn more about Ramon Romero's relationship with the truth here.  Learn more about Poncho Nevarez's relationship with the truth here.

Bottom Line: Good for Rinaldi (and, seriously, follow the link to those Fallon videos)....

Friday, May 19, 2017

#TXLEGE: How is the House doing (and how badly does leadership want to suffer)?!?


"But may the God of all grace, who called us to His eternal glory by Christ Jesus, after you have suffered a while, perfect, establish, strengthen, and settle you. To Him be the glory and the dominion forever and ever. Amen."
1 Peter 5:10-11

We did not attend this morning's trib event with Matt Rinaldi, Geanie Morrison, and Rafael Anchia but it was a good discussion as we come to the end of the regular session with a special session growing likelier by the minute:



Highlights:

  • Morrison plugs the Uber bill.
    • Note: We said our piece on that bill here.
  • Rinaldi grades House "incomplete."
    • 5 priorities for session: Constitutional Carry, significant Property Tax Relief/Reform, Dismemberment Abortion Ban, privacy act, sanctuary cities,
    • "We could either come out of session 1 or those 5 or 4 of those 5."
  • Rinaldi (correctly) blames leadership for failure of priorities.
  • Rinaldi on Dan Patrick: "You use the leverage you have."
  • Morrison: "I'm very concerned" about Senate budget re: higher ed.
  • Extended discussion of privacy act.
  • Rinadli discussing Poncho's point of order on the property tax bill: "I find it suspect that the point of order was there."
  • Morrison calls for more higher ed spending and opposes tuition freeze.
    • Note: Nothing she said precludes the spending for tuition freeze swap btwn the House and Senate we keep hearing about.
  • Rinaldi for tuition freeze.
  • Anchia calls Senate school finance bill "poison pill."
  • Anchia on sanctuary city bill law: "This did not have to pass."
    • Note: We've always felt conservatives have been cheap dates on this issue, but what planet is Rafael Anchia living on if he thought the GOP could actually leave this session without a Sanctuary City bill?!?
  • ANCHIA BRAGS ABOUT ALL THE MONEY THAT DUBYA POURED INTO SOCIALIZED EDUCATION.
    • Note: As Governor, during the 90's.
  • Rinadli de facto calls Texas Association of Business liars.
  • ANCHIA PRAISES DUBYA A SECOND TIME.
    • Note: Everything wrong with the Bush crime family can be seen in this point.
  • Rinaldi calls BS on the race card.
  • Rinaldi: "The House has been so badly mismanaged" by leadership this session that the GOP conference as a whole will insist on changes next session.


Monday, April 10, 2017

Texas Observer unintentionally says something prophetic about the Tea Party


And Balaam said to Balak, “Look, I have come to you! Now, have I any power at all to say anything? The word that God puts in my mouth, that I must speak.”
Numbers 22:38

In our round up of budget night, we included a link to a post by Chris Hooks at the left-leaning Texas Observer about the relationship between the Tea Party and the rest of the legislature.  Hooks' post is worth reading in full.  What's interesting is how, despite whiffing badly on the specifics of budget night, he nevertheless identifies a problem that has become glaringly obvious over the course of this legislative session:
Part of the problem is the targets they pick.
Don't shoot the messenger...but this is actually a HUGE problem.

While the straw man examples from budget night cited by Hooks are stupid, the Tea Party actually does have a gigantic problem with going after the wrong targets.  We attempt strategies that, even if they're 100% successful, won't accomplish their stated objective.  And, of course, they won't be successful as long as current house leadership remains in place.

-----

There are a number of examples we could cite from this session, but the utterly fraudulent "debate" over sanctuary cities is the highest profile.

We first noticed that the alleged "debate" over sanctuary cities contained a depressingly low cattle to hat ratio back in January:
In other words, the "debate" allowed both Greg Abbott and the Travis County Democrats to make inflammatory comments to their respective political bases, but that the actual policy changes under discussion were meaningless.

Here's the actual enforcement mechanism, from the version of the Sanctuary cities bill that passed the Senate in early February:
Sec. 752.056.  DENIAL OF STATE GRANT FUNDS; DATABASE.
(a)  A local entity, including each entity under the jurisdiction
of the local entity, a state criminal justice agency, or a campus
police department may not receive state grant funds if the local
entity, agency, or department violates Section 752.053.
So the plan is to enforce the sanctuary city ban by denying state funding to the relevant political subdivisions.

But...here's the dirty little secret, which Abbott confessed to Glenn Beck in a February interview: "We won’t fully defund the cities. A lot of their funding — really, the majority of their funding comes from local and property taxes as well as sales taxes. So it’s not going to defund their operations [Note: Emphasis added]."

Bingo; by allowing themselves to be appeased by an insignificant alteration to state grant distribution formulas, the Tea Party offers political cover to politicians who don't deserve it while simultaneously failing to create meaningful leverage over rogue political subdivisions.

Instead, consider an alternative approach (which we suggested back in February):
Imagine the following amendment on the property tax bill: "Any political subdivision that denies ICE detainers shall have their rollback rate set to zero."
In other words, rather than hitting rogue local governments on inconsequential state grant formulas, you're hitting them on their ability to collect property tax revenue...which is a much bigger revenue stream.

Political subdivisions with sanctuary policies can withstand changes to state grant formulas, but you'd get whiplash from how quickly they cave if you ever threatened their ability to collect property taxes.

In addition to that, reigning in property taxes is an issue that resonates with the general public beyond conservative activists (especially in Harris County).  Because this issue resonates beyond the conservative echo chamber, it would be a lot harder for Joe Straus to kill.  By focusing on a better target, the Tea Party could have a 2 for 1 win on BOTH property taxes and sanctuary cities.

And that's why this fraudulent sanctuary city "debate" is a textbook example of how the Tea Party has a terrible habit of picking the wrong targets in all things related to the Texas legislature.

[Note: Abbott's equally fraudulent crusade against the NFL and this hot mess of a press conference are two other specific examples of the same phenomenon.]

-----

Bottom Line: The old Sun Tzu line about choosing the proper field of battle still applies.  If we ever want to stop spinning our wheels, we simply have to do a better job selecting our targets.  This has been true for awhile, but the current session is making it apparent just how big of a problem it has become.

Thursday, February 23, 2017

Zerwas refuses to condemn subsidizing heroin addiction (while telling other bald faced lies)....


"The lips of the righteous feed many,
But fools die for lack of wisdom.
Proverbs 10:21

We attended appropriations chairman John Zerwas' trib event this morning.  It was the finest form in which we'd seen a Straus lieutenant in some time.  Our question about medicaid (to which the headline refers) is the final question in the video:



Highlights:

  • Something, something "new sources of revenue."
  • Calls Senate budget "austere."
    • Note: LOLOLOL....
  • "Reasonable" medicaid growth.
  • "I don't think anyone wants to go back" to 2011 education budget 'cuts.'
    • Personally, we'd like to eliminate socialized education in it's entirety; failing that, we'd love to cut it a LOT further than they went in '11.
  • Wants appropriations committee budget vote to be unanimous.
  • School finance requires: "undistracted period of time."
    • Tacit endorsement of special session.
    • Backtracks when he realizes he just endorsed a special session and calls for yet another 'study' during the interim.
  • Endorses continued funding of state level border operations.
  • Offers qualified praise of Obamacare.
    • Repeal must be "very carefully thought out."
    • Something, something people who obtained insurance under Obamacare need to be taken care of.
  • Tax relief: "Going to be a challenge."
    • "We need to fund our schools adequately...meet our responsibilities in Health Care" before tax relief.
  • Rainy day fund: "We have to have a conversation" on a raid.
  • Supplemental: "Will be out in the near future."
    • Calls it a "one time expense" re: RDF.
    • On what planet is medicaid not an ongoing expense?!?
  • Parental Educational Choice: "I have to support my public school system."
    • No "at this time."
  • Throws privacy act under the bus.
Q&A:
  • No public conference committee on budget.
    • "We have to get the work done."

Tuesday, February 7, 2017

If Texas is serious about Sanctuary Cities....


"So he shepherded them according to the integrity of his heart,
And guided them by the skillfulness of his hands."
Psalm 78:72

Today, the Texas Senate will debate (and likely approve) the sanctuary cities bill.  As irritated as we find ourselves with the symbiotic grandstanding of both Governor FoxNews and the Star Wars bar scene of Travis County Democrats, this bill (at least in it's current form) does represent a modest step forward from the status quo.  But color us unsurprised if, in a year, we discover it was more sound and fury than substance.

But there's another, much simpler, way to hold local governments' feet to the fire.

Later this session, the legislature will discuss restructuring the property tax system.  The biggest policy change will likely be alterations in the "rollback" rate.  "Rollback" rate refers to the point past which cities and counties have to seek voter approval to raise property taxes.

Imagine the following amendment on the property tax bill: "Any political subdivision that denies ICE detainers shall have their rollback rate set to zero."

In other words, all of their spending would be on the table...and it wouldn't require a drawn out court fight.

That would certainly get their attention far more than overwrought theatrics surrounding less than one quarter of one percent of Travis County's annual budget.

But why pass something simple, that will have secondary benefits to taxpayers, when you can engage in theatrics while creating full employment for lawyers on all sides?!?

Friday, January 20, 2017

What Trump's Administration means for Austin Tech....


"Therefore I exhort first of all that supplications, prayers, intercessions, and giving of thanks be made for all men, for kings and all who are in authority, that we may lead a quiet and peaceable life in all godliness and reverence. For this is good and acceptable in the sight of God our Savior,"
1 Timothy 2:1-3

[Author's Note: The discussion starts at the 17:10 mark on the video; the period between 58:15 and 59:55 is the transition between the first speaker and the panel.]

We did not attend this event, and we certainly do not agree with everything that was said, but nevertheless the discussion is all sorts of interesting:



Highlights:
  • Matthew Dowd:
    • Founded four companies.
    • Presidential Election: "Unprecedented but predictable."
      • Shifting of cultural, economic, political tectonic plates.
    • Doesn't use the phrase, but explains the Kondratiev wave pretty much perfectly.
    • Acceleration of everything.
    • Last 15 years = Third industrial revolution.
    • In less than a decade, we've completely redefined marriage and sexuality.
    • Technological change is a double edged sword.
    • Growth in knowledge accompanied by a decrease in wisdom.
    • Social media has increased tribalism; confirmation bias.
    • Bernie Sanders and Trump: "Were basically independents."
    • Entrepreneurs have tremendous opportunity in an environment with this much uncertainty.
    • Government is the last place in the U.S. that has resisted innovation.
    • Founding fathers were entrepreneurs; early U.S. was a startup.
    • "To get to the promised land, it's going to be on the backs of entrepreneurs."
    • No matter what else you think of him, Trump has revealed brokenness of status quo.
    • Trump will neither destroy nor fix the U.S.; either one of those actions can only come about by the actions of its citizens.
    • Author's Note: We fully support Ted Cruz's re-election to the United States Senate and would VIGOROUSLY oppose a potential Dowd candidacy, but we nevertheless found his discussion of the opportunities available to entrepreneurs in the current climate illuminating.
  • Panel:
    • Basically a bunch of SJW's constructing straw man arguments via half-truths.
    • Unpredictability is the only thing you can predict.
    • Blah, blah "climate change."
      • Stupid comparison between 'green' energy and fast internet; compares Oil and Gas to dial-up.
      • Neglects to mention that windmills are 14th century technology.
      • Green energy will miss Obama's "vision" (ie. crony subsidies)
    • The chick talking about immigration willfully misrepresents executive orders and regulations as laws passed by Congress on multiple occasions.
      • Author's Note: This is a textbook example of why so many Americans felt like no one was listening to them in the first place...which created the climate that ultimately allowed Trump to be successful.

Friday, January 6, 2017

Rubber Hits the Road for Tom Mechler....


"Even so you also outwardly appear righteous to men, but inside you are full of hypocrisy and lawlessness."
Matthew 23:28

"Rule Four: Make the enemy live up to its own book of rules."
Saul Alinsky


The internal governance of the Republican Party of Texas is a sinkhole that consumes energy and time without accomplishing anything; nevertheless, this recent tidbit regarding Chairman Tom Mechler caught our attention:
Chairman Tom Mechler refusing to endorse [constitutional carry] publicly or respond to repeated requests for comment.
Well, isn't that lovely...and so typical.

During the last state convention, Tom Mechler pushed a process whereby the convention delegates established "legislative priorities" for the Republican party during the 85th Texas Legislature.  While it was obvious this was a stunt designed to stall meaningful reform of state government for another two years, the public cover story was that the repeated expressions of the will of Texas' voters were just too gosh darned complicated for legislators to discern.  Thus, taking Tom Mechler at his word, the delegates to the 2016 Republican Party of Texas state convention created the following list of legislative priorities:
  • Constitutional Carry.
  • Abolition of Abortion.
  • Securing the Border.
  • Article V Convention of States.
  • Replace the property tax system.
  • School Choice.
  • Elimination of Sanctuary Cities.
  • Protection of Religious Freedoms.
Let's look realistically at what will happen on each of those this session:
  • Constitutional Carry -- Dead on arrival in both chambers.
  • Abolition of Abortion -- Charles Perry filed a bill yesterday to eliminate dismemberment abortion, which would be a meaningful step towards this goal; expect Perry's bill to pass the Senate, then get either delayed to death or whittled away into meaninglessness in the House.
  • Securing the Border -- Too soon to tell; if the legislature is serious about the border they should (at a minimum) leave the status quo in place and re-visit the issue in 2019, after the new president has had an opportunity to implement policy changes at the Federal level.
  • Article V Convention of States -- This is, by far, the least important issue on the list but it will pass because the Governor supports it.
  • Replace the Property Tax system -- While it doesn't go nearly far enough, Senator Bettencourt has introduced a politically achievable proposal that would represent a meaningful step forward.  Expect Dennis Bonnen to attempt shenanigans on the House side.  They have to pass something, but whether or not it's toothless symbolism remains to be seen; keep an eye on the conference committee.
  • School Choice -- Will pass the Senate; dead on arrival in the House.
  • Elimination of Sanctuary Cities -- Devil's gonna be in the details on this one.  Straus has said he supports a "constructive" ban, which is #TXLEGE-speak for a toothless bill.  Again, keep an eye on the conference committee.
  • Protection of Religious Freedoms -- Will pass the Senate; dead on arrival in the House.
You'll notice that (with the exception of Article V Convention), NONE of this issues faces an easy path forward.  Three of these issues are, straight up, not going to happen; four others will be very challenging to navigate across the finish line.  For a political party that loves to yammer incessantly about how they "value their grassroots," and that has a near super-majority in both chambers, this seems...odd.

But at least RPT was able to send daily fundraising e-mails during the presidential election based upon absurd premises!!!

Let's review what two decades of Republican 'leadership' has yielded for Texas:
  • The Margins tax.
  • A perennially 5-7 "flagship" state university that acts as a patronage mill for the politically connected.
Bottom Line: They can't hide behind Obama anymore.  The Mechler-era Republicans will either deliver, or the reality of this ongoing farce will be obvious.  Bet on the latter.

Friday, December 2, 2016

Straus' 85th #TXLEGE strategy: Small Ball Obstruction....


"As a dog returns to his own vomit,
So a fool repeats his folly."
Proverbs 26:11

Joe Straus spoke with the Trib earlier this week.  We did not attend the event but did watch the video.  You can see it for yourself below:



Highlights:

  • "The President elect seems to be somewhat flexible."
  • "A real opportunity" re: Medicaid and Trump.
  • "There are no excuses now...[Republicans] need to perform."
    • "You ask for the responsibility, you have to deliver.
    • Author's Note: Save those two quotes for the next campaign season.
  • Obamacare: "Won't be quickly dismantled."
  • Education, transportation, water....
  • Blah, blah, "water"....
  • Spend more on Medicaid "for disabled children."
    • "It will be addressed in our supplemental budget."
    • Author's note: It's always about 'the children.'
  • "We need to address school finance in a serious way."
  • Blows smoke about school choice.
    • House members don't support school choice.
  • "Less money to spend."
  • Property tax relief: "I don't know whether we can."
    • For property tax relief "in a way that is thoughtful."
    • Author's Note: "Thoughtful" is a word Republicans love to use when they're
  • Supports "constructive" ban on sanctuary cities.
    • "you have to be careful on what the words are."
    • Author's Note: Sounds like he's setting up a toothless bill that allows Republicans to campaign on the issue but doesn't change much.
  • Religious liberty: "Isn't the most urgent concern of mine."
  • "I don't have any immediate plans to step down."
    • Fun Fact: By the time the next legislative session convenes, Joe Straus will have outlasted George W. Bush, Nancy Pelosi, Harry Reid, Rick Perry, David Dewhurst, Barack Obama, and John Bohener...the parallels with Fidel Castro are starting to become striking.

Wednesday, August 10, 2016

LOL, Michael McCaul....


"The heart of him who has understanding seeks knowledge,
But the mouth of fools feeds on foolishness."
Proverbs 15:14

Soo, this happened:
WASHINGTON -- Critics of Sen. Ted Cruz, still steaming from his Republican convention speech in which he refused to endorse Donald Trump, are now urging another high-profile Texas Republican to challenge him in the 2018 Senate primary. 
Some Republican donors and Texas politicians are working behind the scenes to build an intraparty challenge for Cruz and have zeroed in on Rep. Michael McCaul as a potential candidate, according to a new report from CNN.
McCaul has not yet ruled out the possibility of a run, according to the report, but the Austin Republican has also not seriously considered it. A spokesman for McCaul, Walter Zaykowski, would say only that the congressman is focused on the November’s election and his role as chairman of the House Homeland Security Committee.
Seriously...Michael McCaul?!?

Because his district includes northeastern Travis County, we've been familiar with McCaul for several years.  That being said, in four and a half years and almost 2500 posts worth of blogging, we think the most revealing statistic is that we've never said a word about him.  He's literally been that irrelevant.

But, since we're talking about Michael McCaul, lets talk about how he earned his money the old fashioned way:

How the Richest Member of Congress Got That Way

By 
Even as the economy sputtered in 2010, Texas congressman Michael McCaul saw his net worth skyrocket to $292.21 million — 300 percent over where it stood in 2009 — vaulting him to the top of Roll Call’s annual list of the wealthiest members of Congress. Does this have something to do with that “Texas miracle” we keep hearing about? Nope! It has something to do with the miracle of having a very rich wife:

The lion’s share of McCaul’s wealth is held by his wife, Linda McCaul, the daughter of Clear Channel Communications CEO and founder Lowry Mays, and his dramatic rise in net worth appears to be the product of generational wealth transfer.
In other words, Michael McCaul is the poster child for privilege and wealth obtained through social connections not merit.

But perhaps you'd rather talk about policy.

McCaul's been a mediocre congressman and there's plenty we pick apart in his record if the need arises, but one aspect stands out.

McCaul is the current chairman of the Homeland Security committee in the U.S. House.  In that role, he voted to fund Obama's executive amnesty.  Not only that, but he actually gave political cover for others to vote against defunding it:
Republicans aren't going to shut down the government over President Barack Obama's immigration order, House Homeland Security Chairman Michael McCaul said Sunday, "but we are going to shut down this president and his actions."
In other words, when Ted Cruz was leading the fight to defund Obama's executive amnesty, Michael McCaul was running interference for leadership.

And, if necessary, there's plenty more where that came from.

Bottom Line: If the Trumpkins want to run a guy who married his money and greased the skids for Obama's executive amnesty against Ted Cruz, they are welcome to try.