Paxton's Lead Grows to 17%

"May the Lord repay every man for his righteousness and his faithfulness; for the Lord delivered you into my hand today, but I would not stretch out my hand against the Lord’s anointed."
1 Samuel 26:23

Team Paxton released a new poll today:

(McKinney, Texas) - Today the Ken Paxton Campaign released a poll showing Paxton now has a 17 point lead in the race for Attorney General, representing a widening gap over Dan Branch from the previous poll. Previously, Paxton led Dan Branch 38%-27%, with the remainder undecided. Now, Paxton’s lead has grown to 44%-27% – a net gain of six points.

The poll was conducted May 14-15 by Glen Bolger of Public Opinion Strategies. Bolger is the only pollster to be a three time winner of the “Republican Pollster of the Year” award from the American Association of Political Consultants, winning the prestigious award for his work in 2002, 2009, and 2012.

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Key Findings:

1. Despite Dan Branch’s negative attacks, Ken Paxton’s double digit lead has widened in the race for Attorney General in the last week.

A week ago, Paxton led Dan Branch 38%-27%, with the remainder undecided, which was statistically the same as his twelve point primary win. Now, Paxton’s lead has grown to 44%-27% – a net gain of six points.

2. Paxton’s lead has grown among key groups in the GOP primary. Among groups that are high propensity turnout voters in Republican primaries: 

• Paxton’s lead grows to 33 points among Tea Party supporters. Among the 41% of run-off voters who are strongly favorable to the Tea Party, Paxton leads 53%-20%.

• Among the 61% of the voters who are very conservative, Paxton has a 26 point lead – 49%-23% over Branch.

• Strong supporters of the NRA back Paxton 47%-26%.

Also important:

• Paxton leads throughout the state. He leads 47%-28% in the Dallas DMA, and 48%-25% in Houston. In addition, he also leads in Austin, San Antonio, and the combined smaller markets through the East/South and West/South of the state.

• Among the 60% of voters who have heard of both candidates, Paxton leads 49%-30%.

The Bottom Line:

With early voting beginning Monday, Paxton’s lead continues to grow while Branch remains mired at 27%. Republican primary run-off voters prefer conservative candidates. Paxton is a real deal conservative, while Branch’s record cost him the primary win and will cost him the nomination.